What Is the Confidence Score?

The confidence score is a percentage from 50 to 95 showing how strongly our model backs the prediction for that match.

We start from win probabilities supplied by our data sources and adjust using recent form — wins, goals scored and conceded, BTTS, and Over/Under trends.

Higher confidence does not guarantee a win. A 75% confidence pick still loses roughly one in four times over the long run.

See our methodology page for the full breakdown of how confidence is calculated and what the numbers mean in practice.